Unskewed poll results.

[I invented that]

Riot grip explain again how skew doesn't affect results.

http://www.unskewedpolls.com/

[RiotGrip]

Ok so this guy unskews polls by applying Rasmussen's numbers of Democrat, Republican and independent to get his numbers. Real science there. Did you ever think that maybe this guy doesn't want Republicans to get discouraged. Honestly is he suggesting Fox news wants Obama to win so it is skewing the polls. I don't believe you believe any of this, you are just trolling.

Select quote from Mr. Chambers:
I believe the mainstream media skews polls like this at this earlier time in the electoral process to influence the views or perceptions of voters of the contest. I suspect they believe voters are more likely to remain loyal to Obama if they believe he still has a chance to win by what they see in the polls. Watch the polls closely and you will see even the mainstream media polls will come closer to those of the more accurate polling firms, for sake of their credibility. By October they too will be surveying likely voters, and doing a lot less over-sampling of Democrats. They too want their polls to be credible when it counts, and when they will be compared to the real election day results that come closer.

Ok so even if this guy is right, which he isn't, I guess polls the week before would be more accurate regardless of the source. Anyway, polls almost always get a little closer right at the end

Again troll you are the one who either has his mind controlled, or you just like trolling.

[I invented that]

I'm simply providing information. You interpret it as you want.

[RiotGrip]

I'm simply providing information. You interpret it as you want.

This is my interpertation, A few articles spring up talking about "skewed polls" I state earlier that this is a talking point to keep conservatives from becoming discouraged, then within the last week a website called unskewedpolls.com pops up. Obviously this site and Qstar news are republican funded. Just for kicks here is their unskewed electoral map.



Lookin pretty good for Romney

Don't be surprised if skewed polls roll into the story they sell you about "how Obama stole the race"

The other intersting thing about that map is that if you look at Rasmussen's electoral map and give every toss up to Romney(even though Obama is ahead in most of the Rasmussen swing polls), 301 is the number you get. This projection is actually calling michigan a toss up.

[I invented that]

Na, "temper tantrum 2012" will be sponsored by obama voters.

[RiotGrip]

Na, "temper tantrum 2012" will be sponsored by obama voters.

Its not going to affect me if Romney wins.

I just don't think he has a chance.

[I invented that]

Fair enough sir.

[booybob]

There are more registered Democrats in the country than Republicans so the polls should have a larger sample of Democratic voters.

If the polls are going to be fair, their sample should be the same % as the voters in the country.
The state polls should be the same as well.

[I invented that]

There are more registered Democrats in the country than Republicans so the polls should have a larger sample of Democratic voters.

If the polls are going to be fair, their sample should be the same % as the voters in the country.
The state polls should be the same as well.

You are correct, however when pollsters go above the historical benchmark of +6dem they are fucking up reality.

[MatthewT]

when the truth is found
to be lies
and all the joy
within you dies
don't you want somebody to love?
don't you need somebody to love?
wouldn't you want somebody to love?
you better find somebody to love

[MatthewT]

all the obammy skewed polling bullshit of 2012 spawned a new business: unskewed polls

[I invented that]

all the obammy skewed polling bullshit of 2012 spawned a new business: unskewed polls

Necessity is the mother of invention.

[MatthewT]

There are more registered Democrats in the country than Republicans so the polls should have a larger sample of Democratic voters.

If the polls are going to be fair, their sample should be the same % as the voters in the country.
The state polls should be the same as well.

Rasmussen Monthly Rasmussen Reports tracking of partisan trends found that in June 2012, 35.4% identified as Republicans, 34.0% as Democrats and 30.5% were unaffiliated. These numbers changed only slightly from the previous month.^[6]

[I invented that]

Rasmussen Monthly Rasmussen Reports tracking of partisan trends found that in June 2012, 35.4% identified as Republicans, 34.0% as Democrats and 30.5% were unaffiliated. These numbers changed only slightly from the previous month.^[6]

Don't waste your time with facts, libbys base everything on feelings!

[RiotGrip]

Rasmussen Monthly Rasmussen Reports tracking of partisan trends found that in June 2012, 35.4% identified as Republicans, 34.0% as Democrats and 30.5% were unaffiliated. These numbers changed only slightly from the previous month.^[6]

Rasmussen still shows Obama ahead in the swing states, even though he had the largest polling error of 2010 for the hawaii senate race

A Rasmussen survey in Hawaii showed Sen. Daniel Inouye (D-HI) leading challenger Cam Cavasso (R) by 13 points two weeks ago, 53% to 40%. The final results showed Inouye winning re-election by 51 points, 72% to 21%.

[MatthewT]

Rasmussen still shows Obama ahead in the swing states, even though he had the largest polling error of 2010 for the hawaii senate race

A Rasmussen survey in Hawaii showed Sen. Daniel Inouye (D-HI) leading challenger Cam Cavasso (R) by 13 points two weeks ago, 53% to 40%. The final results showed Inouye winning re-election by 51 points, 72% to 21%.

wtf are you talking about?

Sunday, October 17, 2010
Democrat Daniel Inouye has represented Hawaii in the U.S. Senate for 47 years, and he now holds a 13-point lead over Republican challenger Cam Cavasso in his bid for another six-year term.

[MatthewT]

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/publ..._hawaii_senate

[MatthewT]

Election 2010: Hawaii Senate

Hawaii Senate: Inouye (D) Holds Double-Digit Lead Over Cavasso (R)


(all from Rasmussen, not MSNBC)

[RiotGrip]

wtf are you talking about?

Sunday, October 17, 2010
Democrat Daniel Inouye has represented Hawaii in the U.S. Senate for 47 years, and he now holds a 13-point lead over Republican challenger Cam Cavasso in his bid for another six-year term.

Rasmussen predicts a 13 point victory while the actual margin of victory was 51 points, you don't think that is a bit of a polling error, How the hell did he get 40% for cavasso when the guy only got 21% of the vote. That was the biggest error margin in 2010. I don't think you had to be a pollster to say he was gonna win, but he got the margin wrong by 38 points.

[MatthewT]

Rasmussen predicts a 13 point victory while the actual margin of victory was 51 points, you don't think that is a bit of a polling error, How the hell did he get 40% for cavasso when the guy only got 21% of the vote. That was the biggest error margin in 2010. I don't think you had to be a pollster to say he was gonna win, but he got the margin wrong by 38 points.

why are you conflating what a poll said weeks before the election with the election results?